Germany's Krypto Report on Lightning Capital's Research

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0:00 - is the bitcoin harp in May 2020
0:04 - already priced in at the current rate
0:06 - or not we may see a big price rally
0:09 -  in 2020 exactly arises
0:13 - this question currently many
0:15 - investors and exactly this topic are watching meet
0:18 - today we will in more detail in the current video
0:24 - [music]
0:30 - welcome to our youtube
0:32 - channel tüv report my name is alexandra
0:34 - Mittermeier with us is about the
0:35 - topics bidco simply explained yes I'm
0:41 - back from the hospital and
0:42 - you may have noticed the
0:45 - last two bitcoin videos were without
0:47 - the current chart technique quite simply
0:49 - because we had recorded the whole before thing
0:51 - with its timeless
0:53 - topics, but we will get that today after
0:56 - so we'll look up right away the bitcoin
0:58 - chart but first I want to say
1:00 - briefly thank all those who
1:02 - me by e-mail and left
1:04 - also requests for improvement in the
1:06 - comments on youtube
1:08 - so many thanks again
1:10 - for that
1:10 - and because we're on the subject, we
1:15 - are on youtube shortly
1:17 - before the mark of 10,000 subscribers II
1:19 - would be very happy if we would reach
1:21 - this mark this year
1:23 - so please subscribe
1:27 - one channel because you are here in every
1:29 - case 100 percent correct when it comes to
1:32 - the topic of crypto currencies and blogs,
1:34 - it is about 100 percent that
1:37 bitcoins has been around since the end february increased but
1:39 - at last the world leading seems to be running
1:42 - club tourout of steam 
1:44 - so the bitkom has recently clearlyweakened 
1:46 - and we are now looking at
1:47 - the current chart technique up to
1:50 - right on my screen and
1:54 - here so concertino west or
1:55 - price dates come en as always from the
1:56 - press today is wednesday
2:00 - the eleventh december out and we are in the
2:02 - congress at about 7000 180 us-dollars
2:06 - after we were in the last few days again
2:09 - I have fallen a bit here at
2:12 - 6,850 us dollars a support
2:16 - if it, I would not comes in
2:18 - overrated
2:19 - so many seehere again
2:20 - descending the triangle so far I would
2:22 - not go but this chart looks completely
2:25 - clearly negative and especially the
2:27 - really bad is that both
2:30 - moving averages so both of the
2: 31 - 50 days average that this blue
2:33 - line as well as this 200 day line the
2:35 - this red line is now falling
2:39 - so we have seen a rollover
2:41 - in the 200 day line and that means
2:44 - this line is also sinking now and both
2:48 - moving averages are
2:50 - thus in the downward trend and that is k A
2:54 - good sign if we look at the whole
2:57 - closer we see that
2:58 - so that no further in this
3:00 - downward trend channel moves and the
3:02 - lower edge of this from another
3:04 - the downward trend channel is now
3:05 - just over 6000 us dollars and I have
3:10 - it was already in the last bitcoin video indicated 
3:13 - because the bitcoin was at that time
3:15 - it was oversold that I had a
3:16 - expect technical recovery and it is
3:19 - also occurred and the macd has
3:22 - here now ends at the end of november beginning
3:24 - december a bullish crossover delivered
3:26 - so this turquoise linear this instead of
3:28 - broken from bottom to top
3:29 - but this technical recovery was
3:32 - unfortunately as it currently looks only
3:34 - of a short duration
3:35 - why is that so clearly the volume
3:39 - speaks one other language and shows
3:42 - that it goes further down, so the
3:45 - large investors keep their feet still
3:47 - un d money continues to flow out of the bitkom
3:50 - and that is also shown in these
3:53 - red candles here
3:55 - if we look at the relative strength index
3:58 - then we see that I am so
4:00 - can move out of this oversold zone
4:01 - into the neutral
4:04 - area
4:05 - but this indicator of the
4:08 - trend intensity is usually also
4:12 - nothing good for those with small, so we
4:14 - can still 300 500 us dollars
4:16 - fall
4:17 - until we are oversold again so
4:20 - I can imagine that
4:21 - can definitely still times at the
4:22 - lower edge of this upward trend channel
4:24 - only then runs up again
4:27 - an oversold situation would result
4:31 - but the was this bottom line
4:33 - chart image was anything but good
4:37 - I expect short term another 
4:41 - in the- falling rates even if the bitcoin
4:44 - port only a few months, exactly
4:47 - said it's five meters onate isaway
4:50 - but as a small investor you have to expect 
4:53 - that it will for a short go down
4:55 - funny as we have
5:00 - just seen on my screen
5:01 - currently does not see it all too good
5:03 - off for the bitcoin so from price rally
5:05 - no trace to be seen yet but if
5:09 - a trend reversal is emerging for bitcoin find out for sure
5:11 - then he willin
5:12 - ours report under crypto -
5:16 - report can be entered free of charge by
5:17 - and next saturday it will then be at
5:20 - the subject of bitcoin and also mallorca
5:22 - was last under the wheels
5:25 - the course although the fundamentals
5:27 - are actually coherent we will look at
5:29 - the whole topic will then approach on saturday
5:32 - and as I said if you want to be therething
5:33 - just sign the wholeis
5:36 - absolutely free of charge
5:39 - let's get back to our main topic
5:41 - so everyone in the club scene lower
5:43 - inside gen is will have noticed it
5:45 - so in May 2020 this bitcoin will find
5:49 - port city and port does not mean that coins in
5:53 - the amount of circulation is halved
5:57 - but only that the faithful
5:59 - inflation, i.e. the number of the new
6:01 - crosses that the men put on the market
6:04 - come in half and that means about
6:09 - 12.5 bitcoins are then only 6.25
6:14 - all bitcoins ten minutes a
6:16 - new blog is then generated again on the
6:19 - market and that means that won the need less money
6:22 - demand side at
6:25 - this new cross to catch fire
6:28 - were At the moment there are currently 12.6 million
6:31 - dollars thaton the demand sideare required
6:32 - so to speak per day at
6:35 - these new together neededCrosses
6:37 - we then only6.3 million dollars
6:40 - if we now put the stock price of 7000
6:43 - dollars per bitcoin
6:46 - it is so that this with concave in about
6:49 - every four years re takes place every
6:52 - 210,000 blocks to be more precise and we
6:55 - so far had two bitcoins things I
6:58 - am through this graphic to a
7:00 - so once in November 2012 and then at
7:04 - July 2016
7:06 - and the media can see on this graph it is
7:09 - immediately in front of the port at a
7:12 - significant price increase, more precisely
7:14 - said thearound 110 price was on average
7:19 - percent previously increased so a six
7:21 - months before and is also in the year a
7:24 - year later then clearly tightened
7:27 - after heap I fade in to others
7:28 - graphic on there you can now see more clearly
7:31 - based on the percentage increase so
7:33 - the hope of the investors is definitely
7:35 - justified that the bitcoin rate
7:37 - immediately before the port or
7:40 - after the port increases significantly because
7:43 - simply reduce the offer
7:48 - now of course the question is likeas
7:50 - such a scenario is realistic
7:52 - he im im Elbar in front of the port aa
7:55 - seeclear price increase
7:56 - or after the port
7:58 - further rising prices are there
8:01 - the opinions are very strong
8:03 - apart, I'm this one for you
8:05 - poll on device by grace kelly aton,
8:07 - twitternamely 2000
8:10 - participants assume that I have
8:12 - not yet priced in the course so
8:15 - me I have a different opinion I think
8:16 - that this hobby event is already in a largely priced 
8:22 - because now in the current market
8:25 - there are still mainly professionals romping around
8:28 - the otto normal consumers have signed up signed off
8:29 - already, so to speak, that is
8:31 - you can also see it on google trends and also in
8:33 - in the media, bitcoin is currently
8:35 - not so popular
8:36 - and that's why it is currently at least like
8:40 - I only believe the professionals at
8:42 - say there and they really in thisBelieve
8:44 - technology and nd therefore these people
8:46 - are mostly well informed and know
8:48 - what is currently being played and these
8:51 - people know that the housing in May will take place
8:53 - 2020 there is Nevertheless
8:57 - there is an interesting one of an Analysis
8:59 - hedge fund manager named Charles approaches thing
9:01 - who analyzes whether the whole is analyzed more closely and he
9:05 - comes to the conclusion that the bitcoin in
9:09 - the port moves between 20 and 50
9:12 - a thousand dollars is expected
9:14 - a significant price increase and why
9:17 - expect this increase it is relatively
9:20 - simply you have the demand so to speak
9:21 - I calculate this
9:23 - The graphic for this is
9:24 - and he assumes that we will see bitcoin demand of 633 1000
9:33 - bitcoins by
9:27 - 2021, and that's because
9:35 - simply a lot of bitcoins over local
9:38 - marketplaces the local bitcoins
9:40 - are in demand because many
9:43 - countries still have a high n
9:44 - inflation fight like in latin america
9:46 - also in africa and therefore he expects
9:49 - also on these markets a stable
9:51 - bitcoin demand and also a bitcoin
9:54 - itf should be around 30,000 bitcoins himPull
9:58 - so to speak from the market and therefore
10:00 - he assumes that we will see a
10:02 - clear demand because excess
10:05 - he calculates that the offer of
10:08 - is from the men about 328,000 bitcoins
10:12 - should be higher and that means
10:14 - have a clear excess demand
10:16 - if this demand is actually
10:20 - a trip that is
10:23 - can be quite speculative So you say
10:26 - are only estimates
10:27 - and what I think you should also
10:29 - not because this whole calculation
10:30- should be forgotten is that not only these
10:33 - new bitcoins from the men on the
10:36 - market but we also have
10:38 - 18 million bitcoins meanwhile at
1 0:41 - the market and I can very well
10:43 - imagine that these existing
10:45 - bitcoin owners also want to sell
10:48 - when the prices play higher again from
10:49 - so of course there are also possible
10:52 - new offer on the market you have to that know
10:55 - quite simply to know nevertheless I find
10:56 - this analysis of these hedge funds
10:59 - manager of charles darwin right
11:01 - interesting i'm all of you in
11:04 - the description below then you cancan
11:05 - youtube whole again in detail Readthing
11:07 - but he assumes that we have an
11:10 - bitcoin rate from about 20 to 50,000
11:13 - dollars after the port 10
11:18 - what is the conclusion of the whole
11:19 - well i already mentioned it i
11:21 - believe that this harting event is not an
11:25 - that big influence more on course
11:27 - will have i'm more on page
11:29 - by morgan creek digital with founder
11:31 - jason williams der au I assume
11:33 - that this event will be a non-event
11:36 - will have little influence on the price
11:39 - because in my opinion the
11:41 - all of it is somewhere too low from the
11: 45 - amount and the inflation that is
11:49 - reduced and I also believe that in
11:51 - future the future port events
11:53 - play an increasingly less important role
11:56 - that the influence of this thing
11: 59 - will decrease significantly because in Maywedrop
12:01 - 2020will already from anof accumulation
12:04 - 3.6 percent to 1.8 percent
12:07 - and then in 2024 at the next
12:10 - event If we then fall below 1 percent
12:12 - so the steps are then always
12:15 - less and the influence less and less
12:19 - is then moves less and less at
12:21 - the core inflation as far as we are then
12:24 - below 1 percent and then it goes
12:26 - so to speak in mini steps and
12:28 - so I think that the future port
12:32 - events have a lot less influence
12:35 - pm than the previous events and the first
12:37 - pm we will, in my opinion,pm
12:39 - after already in May 2020 I will see
12:43 - think that this is rather little about course
12:46 - will move i can wellimagine 
12:48 - the prices that the
12:51 - bitcoin price after the heap event
12:53 - will continue to increase quite simply
12:55 - because there is a constant demand
12:58 - encounters a lower offer and usually has rising prices at
13:04 - but I don't believe that we see
13:06 - a price explosion to 100,000 dollars
13:08 - I don't assume that but I
13:11 - think that in the next year we will clearly


Link to original:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GKuObsh8eTE&ab_channel=KryptoReport
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